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WARSAW — The Hungarian forint firmed on Friday,
outperforming other regional currencies, supported by a rate hike earlier this
WARSAW — The Hungarian forint firmed on Friday,
outperforming other regional currencies, supported by a rate hike earlier this
week and stabilizing gas prices.
The forint came under pressure last month from soaring energy prices as
Hungary is higly dependent on energy imports.
A bright spot came in for investors on Tuesday when the National Bank of
Hungary raised its base rate by 100 basis points to 11.75% and announced new
measures that aim to tighten currency liquidity in the interbank market.
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“The stabilization of gas prices is helping the forint as it will help the
budget and the external balance as well,” an FX trader in Budapest said. “The
rate hike and the central bank’s new measures are also supportive.”
Gas prices dropped this week from recent highs, with Dutch and British
wholesale gas prices mostly down on Thursday due to comfortable storage levels,
price cap concerns and continued EU gas demand reduction proposals.
As of 0803 GMT, the forint was 0.56% firmer against the euro at 399.90.
Other central European currencies were broadly stable, as markets looked
ahead to a key U.S. payroll data that could strengthen expectations of
aggressive rate hikes in the world’s largest economy.
The Polish zloty was 0.05% weaker at 4.7175 while the Czech crown
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was stable at 24.494.
If the U.S. nonfarm payroll data is strong, as expected, analysts said it
would support a continuation of aggressive rate hikes from the Fed, which could
further boost the U.S. dollar.
A stronger dollar is negative for CEE currencies, as it makes riskier assets
less attractive to investors.
“If the nonfarm payrolls show a positive situation on the labor market …
it will mean that the expectations for a 75-basis-point rate hike by the Federal
Reserve will rise,” said Mateusz Sutowicz, a financial market analyst at Bank
Millennium.
“This will be positive for the dollar but should be slightly negative for
the emerging market currencies.”
CEE MARKETS SNAPSHOT AT 1003
CET
CURRENCIES
Latest Previous Daily Change
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bid close change in
2022
EURCZK= Czech 24.4940 24.4880 -0.02% +1.54
crown %
EURHUF= Hungary 399.9000 402.1500 +0.56 -7.63%
forint %
EURPLN= Polish 4.7175 4.7150 -0.05% -2.68%
zloty
EURRON= Romania 4.8361 4.8334 -0.06% +2.32
n leu %
EURHRK= Croatia 7.5200 7.5205 +0.01 -0.03%
n kuna %
EURRSD= Serbian 117.3300 117.3700 +0.03 +0.21
dinar % %
Note: calculated from 1800
daily CET
change
Latest Previous Daily Change
close change in
2022
.PX Prague 1157.24 1153.7900 +0.30
%
.BUX Budapes 41726.00 41447.57 +0.67 -17.73
t % %
.WIG20 Warsaw 1470.60 1462.59 +0.55 -35.13
% %
.BETI Buchare 11862.85 11867.68 -0.04% -9.18%
st
.SBITOP Ljublja 1117.25 1120.14 -0.26% -11.01
na %
.CRBEX Zagreb 1988.60 1991.93 -0.17% -4.36%
.BELEX15 Belgrad 851.08 848.50 +0.30 +3.69
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e % %
.SOFIX Sofia 613.21 615.79 -0.42% -3.53%
Yield Yield Spread Daily
(bid) change vs change
Bund in
Czech spread
Republi
c
CZ2YT=RR 6.0880 -0.1320 +489b -15bps
2-year ps
CZ5YT=RR 5.2330 -0.0350 +384b -5bps
5-year ps
CZ10YT=RR 4.8300 0.0010 +324b -2bps
10-year ps
Poland
PL2YT=RR 7.1180 -0.0340 +592b -6bps
2-year ps
PL5YT=RR 6.7190 0.0000 +533b -2bps
5-year ps
PL10YT=RR 6.1610 0.0190 +457b +0bps
10-year ps
FORWARD
3×6 6×9 9×12 3M
interb
ank
Czech
Hungary
Poland
Note: are for ask prices
FRA
quotes
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(Reporting by Alan Charlish and Anita Komuves; Editing by Sherry
Jacob-Phillips)
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